Sports betting with ‘The Philly Godfather’: Take the Eagles and the over in Dallas this week

Each Friday for PhillyVoice, Steve Maltepes, known as “The
Philly Godfather,” will impart his gambling wisdom on the Eagles and where the
smart money is going on various pro and college football games this weekend.
Maltepes is one of the nation’s hottest sports betting experts who appears
weekly on national radio and has his own website, https://ift.tt/1Mcz8SK.

NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
at Dallas Cowboys, 4:20 p.m. Sunday

(Games 129 & 130
on the sports betting screen)

The Line: Cowboys
minus-3.5/Total: 44

What is the line
telling you:
Four weeks ago, Dallas came to Philly as large 7-point
underdogs, and this week, oddsmakers and offshore made the 7-5 Cowboys, who
have won four straight, as 4-point home favorites. The combined total opened at
43.5, and since then, we’ve been a half-point uptick across the board. As of
right now, it’s painted at 44 everywhere. We saw an influx of sharp money bang
the Eagles on Tuesday, which forced bookmakers to adjust the price down to 3.5.
Good for all Philly fans is that the public is all over the Cowboys here, with
68-percent of all tickets placed in Vegas and offshore. But the much bigger
bets, the sharper action is all over the Eagles, with 55-percent of the overall
money on Philly. We’ve seen a huge 11-point over adjustment to the line here in
a two-game sample size, which is insane. The oddsmakers have pumped this number
a little bit, especially after the Cowboys are coming off their huge emotional
win last Thursday over the New Orleans Saints. The Eagles are starting to get
healthy on defense, Lane Johnson is back and Golden Tate has gotten acclimated
to the offense.
 

Bottom line: The
smart money likes the Eagles and the over.

Baltimore Ravens at
Kansas City Chiefs, 1:00 p.m. Sunday

(Games 105 & 106
on the sports betting screen)

The Line: Chiefs
minus-6.5/Total: 51

What is the line
telling you:
Oddsmakers opened this line with the money-making 10-2 Kansas
City Chiefs, who have covered the spread 72.7-percent of the time this year, as
7-point favorites and total started at 49. We’ve seen wave, after wave, after
wave of sharp money by the hook and all of the plus-7s they could find on the
Ravens. That forced sports books to drop that key number of 7 and the total has
moved to where it is currently priced at 51. Early market reports are showing
that 77-percent of all sports bettors back the Chiefs in Vegas and in the
islands. The public loves dynamic offensive football teams. They love betting
in this Chiefs team, and you can’t blame them, they’ve made them a lot of
money. The sharp money took a huge bite on the Ravens here. Kansas City losing
Kareem Hunt will definitely hurt them. The Chiefs defense ranks dead last in
run-stopping efficiency.

Bottom line: The
smart money likes the Ravens.

Los Angeles Rams at
Chicago Bears, 8:20 p.m. Sunday

(Games 119 & 120
on the sports betting screen)

The Line: Rams
minus-3/Total: 51.5

What is the line
telling you:
The oddsmakers started the Rams as 3-point road favorites at
Soldier Field over the 8-4 Bears, with the overall total set at 54. We
immediately saw sharp money hit the screen on the under, which forced the books
to lower the line to where it currently sits at 51.5. There was minimal
movement on a side. The early reports were showing a whopping 78-percent of all
tickets punched on the Vegas strip has been on the Rams. As great as the Rams’
straight-up record looks this year, with only one loss, this team has been
actually underperforming in the market. They’ve only covered in 45-percent of
their games this year. They look vulnerable at times for a team with 11 wins.
This is a tough spot considering the severe weather conditions in Chicago. It
has more of an effect on offense. Hands get numb and it’s hard to move with
precision. Every hit feels like you’ve been hit with a Mack truck. When Khalil
Mack gets going, the Rams are going to feel like they got run over by a tractor
trailer. Warm-weather teams can’t stop the run and the Rams fit right into that
criteria. The Rams are ranked No. 25 in defensive efficiency against the run.
The Chicago Bears are ranked No. 1 against the run and No. 3 in opponent’s
average per rushing attempt.

Bottom line: The
smart money likes the Bears and the under.

College games

Army minus-7 over
Navy (Games 103-104)

(Betting lines are subject to change.)

The Philly Godfather
can be followed on twitter @Phillygodfather & his website is
www.thephillygodfather.com.


Follow Joe on Twitter: @JSantoliquito

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