Season Recap: Vince Velasquez

Vincent Velasquez made 16 starts for the Phillies this year. He was very inconsistent.
In the coming days, we’re going to recap every player who spent a part of  2017 with the Philadelphia Phillies. The previous post looked at infielder Pedro Florimon. We even have a landing post with a link to each player’s season.
Let’s break down Vincent Velasquez career in Philadelphia by how his starts worked out.

Excellent starts (At least seven innings and 2 or fewer earned runs)
10 percent of his starts

April 14, 2016: 9 innings, no earned runs
July 19, 2016: 7 innings, one earned run
Sept. 3, 2016: 7 innings, 2 earned runs
July 30, 2017: 7 innings, no earned runs

Quality starts (At least six innings and 3 or fewer earned runs)
23 percent of his starts

April 9, 2016: 6 innings, no earned runs
April 26, 2016: 6 innings, 3 earned runs
May 1, 2016: 6 innings, 0 earned runs
July 3, 2016: 6 innings, 2 earned runs
July 8, 2016: 6 innings, 2 earned runs
July 29, 2016: 6 innings, 2 earned runs
April 19, 2017: 6 innings, 3 earned runs
April 26, 2017: 6 1/3 innings, 3 earned runs
July 18, 2017: 6 1/3 innings, 1 earned run

Short strong starts (5 innings pitched, 2 or fewer runs)
18 percent of his starts

May 17, 2016: 5 innings, 0 earned runs

June 27, 2016: 5 innings, no earned runs
Aug 4, 2016: 5 innings, 2 earned runs
Aug 28, 2016: 5 innings, 1 earned run
May 1, 2016: 5 innings, 1 earned run
May 14, 2017: 5 innings, 2 earned runs
May 25, 2017: 5 innings, 1 earned run
Aug. 4, 2017: 5 innings, 2 earned runs

Mediocre starts (At least five innings and 4 or fewer earned runs)
8 percent of starts

May 6, 2016: 6 innings, 4 earned runs
May 12, 2016: 6 innings, 4 earned runs
July 24, 2016: 6 innings, 4 earned runs

Bad starts (5 innings or fewer and 4 or more earned runs)
13 percent of starts

April 19, 2016: 4 1/3 innings, 5 earned runs
May 23, 2016: 4 innings, 3 earned runs
April 7, 2017: 4 innings, 4 runs
July 24, 2017: 3 innings, 4 runs
10 percent of his starts

Awful starts (5 or more earned runs)
18 percent of his starts

May 29, 2016: 4 1/3 innings, 7earned runs
Aug. 9, 2016: 4 2/3 innings, 9 earned runs
Aug. 16, 2016: 5 2/3 innings, 5 earned runs
Aug. 24, 2016: 6 innings, 5 earned runs
April 12, 2017: 5 innings, 5 earned runs
May 6, 2017: 7 innings, 6 earned runs
May 20, 2017: 5 2/3 innings, 5 earned runs

Miscellaneous starts
10 percent of starts

June 3, 2016: 4 2/3 innings, 2 earned runs

June 8, 2016: 1/3 innings, no earned runs
May 30, 2017: 1 1/3 innings, 1 earned run
Aug. 10, 2017: 1 inning, 3 earned runs

The one question I have about current Phillies going into next year is what they can expect from Velasquez after two years.
We have yet to see him pitch a full healthy year. But if you consider the top three categories the outcomes you want, he reached them in 51 percent of his starts. That’s not quite good enough. You want that to be above 55 percent. In fact, a big issue is that 31 percent of his starts were bad or terrible.

I’m not sold Velasquez is a Major League starter. In many ways, he reminds me of Joe Kelly, who has electric stuff, but just doesn’t translate that into getting guys out.

However, the kid seems like an A-plus guy and it’s hard not to root for him.
If he ends up starting for the Phillies next year, they can’t rely on him to make more than 25 starts and they can’t rely on him to regularly pitch past the sixth inning.

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